Flamengo is close to the Brazilian 2025 title after Palmeiras stumbled

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With an 87.3% chance of winning the title according to UFMG, Flamengo is the favorite for the 2025 Brazilian Championship after beating RB Bragantino and stumbling over Palmeiras, which has a 12.3% chance.

With three rounds remaining before the end of the Brazilian Championship 2025, Flamengo are almost the champions. Athletically, it is very difficult for him to lose the cup. According to a probability table maintained by the Mathematics Department of the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Rubro Negro has an 87.3% chance of being the champion of the Brazilian League A.

Palmeiras have a slim chance of lifting the cup, with a 12.3% chance. Cruzeiro, which is third in the standings, has a 0.4% chance of winning the title, while all other competing teams have no chance.

At the bottom of the table, Sport have already been relegated. Fortaleza and Juventude are also practically in Series B, with a fall probability of 87.7% and 87% respectively. Vitoria comes next with a 68.9% chance of relegation, then Santos with a 47.5% chance.

Flamengo’s role in the search for the title was strengthened by the round that began on Saturday the 22nd. After defeating RB Bragantino in the Maracanã and relying on Palmeiras’ stumble against Fluminense, Robro Negro isolated himself at the top of the standings and will be able to celebrate the title in the next round.

At the Maracanã, there was a celebration in red and black: after his return from Data Viva, Arrascaeta was the captain of the 3-0 victory over Bragantino. In addition to the Uruguayan, Jorginho and Bruno Henrique have extended the net.

At Allianz Parque Stadium, Palmeiras suffered the fourth match without winning the tournament, in front of Fluminense’s solid defense. With a lack of creativity and many individual mistakes up front, Alverde’s attack was unable to overcome goalkeeper Fabio.