All of the experience of the first two years of government Javier MileyLike the Trump administration’s proposals, it goes in the same direction: It is necessary for the government to build a coalition or coalition that allows it to obtain the political support of the party. Control effectively In the institutional framework.
It was the first step in this direction interview The president’s meeting with the governors, which was attended by twenty out of twenty-four (the four absent were excluded due to their significantly oppositional stance). Realistically, the president appears to have assumed a hypothesis Federalism: The political system is an order from the governors to… Congress And not the other way around.
is to agree with Members of the Senate and Representatives This does not mean doing this with district leaders. On the contrary, the agreement with them is transferred to the Senate. It is worth noting that each governorate has three senators and their relationship with… Rulers It’s direct. From there it goes to the representatives whose relationship with the heads of the provinces is less, and this council has representation according to what is decided population From the area.
The province of Buenos Aires includes seventy national deputies, among whom the provincial authorities are divided and distributed. Historically, Senators They were the official spokesmen for their provinces, a situation that was weakened in Lower house.
Agreement with the rulers takes precedence, as is inevitable, in the distribution of resources between the nation and the provinces. the constitution This law, which was issued in 1994, stipulated that a new participation law must be issued within one year. However, it remains suspended without any recorded attempts to approve it during the past thirty-one years. This means that doing so means achieving Consensus from CountiesWhich doesn’t seem easy.
But this year the project refers to the automatic distribution of ATN (Advances from the national treasury) came from the governors. These are sharing resources that the executive transfers to the provinces on a discretionary basis. Facing a veto from the ruling party, it was to reject By a two-thirds majority of both chambers. The project specified that the ATN should be distributed automatically and implemented immediately. Only 17% of the project has been implemented currently. Annual amount From these resources.
Perhaps this is the project to begin agreements with the governors that open the way for the reforms that the executive authority wants to implement in the second half of its term.
Ten days after the elections, the president summoned the elected senators and representatives of the ruling party. In theory it is the next step in necessity Political negotiation With the opposition. The ruling party will not have a majority in either chamber as of December 10. For this reason, negotiations are essential to the Council’s work. system Institutional.
In the House of Representatives, adding allies, the ruling party will be left with nearly twenty parliamentary seats Special quorum To the session. It will not be difficult to advance the project budget In the House Committee, there’s a preview of that.
In the Senate, the ruling party needs approx Fourteen senators To reach a quorum. It is a more difficult goal, but for this there is negotiation with the rulers.
The President has shown the way: now it must be implemented. The strategy is to leave the definitions to December 1When the special sessions that he will call for are held Executive authoritywho resolved that there would be no legislative recess in January and February.
Time in politics is very important. Things can change in a short time. In October 2024, as Miley was approaching his first year in office, he vetoed the former Violating law Passed by Congress, which indicates an increase in university spending. He did this with a third of the House of Representatives, which he called “85 heroes“.
But a year later, the same Congress in one week rejected three objections to the bill The pink house For emergency child laws, public education funds and the aforementioned ATN project. the Political situation It has changed dramatically, although the rulers and legislators have remained the same.
This confirms that when you are in power you can negotiate with the opposition, because Public opinion Support and it’s time to move on. And along this line government at the moment.
Accordingly, the remaining time is up December 10 It will be sufficient for negotiation, but the political agreement and the extraordinary sessions that will be held between December 1 and March 1 will be the key moment for enacting laws in both chambers, such as Labor reformsPensions and taxes will have to be subject to this tight schedule if they are to be penalized.
Starting March 1, everything will be more difficult. First, because the regular sessions will begin and the opposition will be able to present initiatives, which it cannot do in special sessions, where the matter is limited to opposition projects. executive. Secondly, perhaps because of the positive impact on the ruling party Electoral victory It will tend to loosen over time, which it usually does.
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