The fall of 2025 will be unusually cold and dry across much of New York State. Recent analysis suggests that the promise of a harsher winter will continue, but the wait for the first big blanket of white will be longer for New York City than for the rest of the state.
According to reports received from Northeast Regional Climate CentreThe northern regions, or upstate New York, receive their first measurable snowfall during lFirst week of November. Cities like Syracuse already have a regular date around November 5th. However, the Atlantic Passage, where New York City is located, will see cooler but drier weather, delaying the arrival of snowfall as it accumulates. Great Lakes
Although some forecasts indicate the possibility of light snow this Thanksgiving season (late November), heavy snow in Manhattan and other boroughs It won’t arrive until December. It is estimated that significant snowfall begins in New York City in the first or second half of the last month of the year.
Experts and revised forecasts in late October identified the most likely dates for New York City to receive its first measurable snow between… December 9 and 14. Forecasts vary by region: JFK (Queens) will be around December 9; Central Park, on December 13, and the general date for the entire city of New York is December 14.
It will start snowing in New York City in early December. Photo: EFE/EPA/Sarah Yenisel.November, indoors alone
During the month of November, the probability of snowfall and its accumulation is concentrated in the interior and north of the state in areas such as Buffalo, Rochester and Syracuse. Episodes are expected to run there from November 3 to 6, with coverage several times greater than what the city sees. For example, buffalo can accumulate more than 90 cm during the season.
In contrast, New York City and Long Island will have a very low chance of snow accumulation in November. The environment will be cool, with average temperatures between 5°C to 10°C, but generally dry and sunny. Only one day of light snow or mixed rain is expected, with very low overall accumulation (about 1.8 cm).
Buffalo is one of the areas where snow is starting to fall. Photo: Derek Gee/Buffalo News via AP.December brings snow, but below average
December is the month when snowfall will become more frequent and intense. Expectations indicate up to Seven days with snowfall and average temperatures from 1°C to 5°C. The periods of greatest accumulation will be concentrated in mid-December and early February, affecting Manhattan, Queens, and Brooklyn.
Despite this increase, forecasts for the winter of 2025-2026 indicate a period that is generally warmer and drier than the historical average for the Sahel. Total amount of snow expected for the entire season New York City will be 43 to 53 cm. This is below the historical average for the region, which ranges between… 63 to 78 cm. The snow will be much greater in the west and center of the state, where accumulations could exceed 240 cm.
Snow may reach 53 cm, which is lower than the historical average. Photo: EFE/EPA/Josh Thermidor.New York City is preparing for a winter with guaranteed cold, but with a layer of snow that will be later and less heavy than usual.
Record cold in the southeast and heavy snowfall surprises the northeast
The first major blast of Arctic air of the season hit two-thirds of the United States hard, generating a climate of extreme contrast. While a cold wave was produced Record temperatures in the Southeastwhich left millions of people on freeze alert, as the passage of cold air across the country covered vast areas along the Great Lakes with snow.
according to news agencyThe polar air mass moved east and southeast, coming from the northern plains, which had already witnessed strong winds and snow over the weekend. This means to Alabama, Florida and Georgia sudden thermal shockWith a sharp drop in temperatures in winter. Days ago, maximum temperatures in these areas were still comfortably between 21 and 27 degrees Celsius.
A man dresses up while ice skating on Lake Michigan during a cold day in Chicago, Tuesday, Nov. 11, 2025. Photo: AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh.The change was not only sudden, but historic. According to Scott Klebauer, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service, several daily records have been broken, such as the minimum &2 degrees Celsius (28 degrees Fahrenheit) was recorded at Jacksonville Airport in Florida. This value broke the previous record of 35 degrees Fahrenheit, which was set in 1977. The impact of these unusual temperatures was felt by about 18 million people.
The consequences of this extreme cold in the Southeast led to atypical postcard appearances, especially in Florida. With temperatures close to or below 4 degrees Celsius, The iguana “froze” and fell from the trees. Experts explain that because of their reptilian nature, these animals go into survival mode and their system shuts down. Florida residents posted photos of the startled reptiles on social media, a phenomenon that only happens a few times a year.
Florida iguanas fell from trees due to low temperatures. Photo: Joe Cavaretta/South Florida Sun Sentinel via AP.Meanwhile, in the Northeast, cold air over the relatively warm waters of the Great Lakes unleashed heavy snowfall. This phenomenon is known as “Lake effect snowCommunities were blanketed in white on the coast and in the interior of Pennsylvania and New York. Areas like Ubly, Michigan, reported 20 cm of snow in one dayThis is an unusual amount at this early stage of the season.
Snow also reached vital areas in New York, including Buffalo, Rochester, and Syracuse, where it is expected to be among 5 and 15 cm. High winds and snow created dangerous driving conditions, including in West Virginia, where… Ice sheet in the early morning It caused dozens of road accidents. This early cold snap forced Orlando theme park visitors to congregate and forced South Florida to face lows near 8 degrees Celsius.
With information from AP.