The Datafolha survey carried out among 2,002 people between December 2 and 4 shows that 91% of voters do not regret having voted for the presidential election in 2022. Only 8% say they regret it, and 1% did not respond. The margin of error is two percentage points. The conviction is similar between those who voted for Lula (91%) and Bolsonaro (92%).
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Regret is more marked in the South (11%) and among those earning up to two minimum wage (10%). Among those who earn five to ten times the minimum wage, this rate drops to 6%. Of all the regrets, 4% say they prefer the PT and 1% the PL.
The investigation was carried out shortly after the arrest of Jair Bolsonaro. The majority considers the detention to be fair, but the episode has not affected the loyalty of its base, which maintains a level of conviction similar to that of Lula’s voters.
In the simulations for 2026, Lula leads all scenarios, despite a rejection rate of 44%, a rate close to that of Bolsonaro, with 45%.
The 2026 election is considered “very important” by 77% of those surveyed. Among Bolsonaristas, the rate reaches 85%; among Lulistas, 79%. People aged 45 to 59 are those who value elections the most (80%). Among those over 60, 12% say they do not consider the election important.
According to Datafolha, even among the most politically engaged, there is a strong division: in the group that considers the elections very important, 80% rate Lula’s government as excellent/good, and 80% rate it as bad/terrible.
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