Lula has chosen Bolsonaro as his opponent in 2022, and Bolsonaro himself, in nominating Flavio for president, has chosen Lula’s challenger in 2026. He is not eligible until he is 105 years old, and if he is healthy enough to do so, Bolsonaro will either act that way or lose his status as Brazil’s most senior right-wing leader, despite being imprisoned.
Why not Michele instead of Flavio? She is doing better in polls on voting intentions, is strong among evangelicals, will attract the support of women who have never viewed Bolsonarianism favorably, and does not have a glass ceiling like Flavio. Well, because Michelle is a woman, and Bolsonaro doesn’t have complete control over her.
Bolsonaro’s first wife, Rogeria, mother of Flavio, Carlos and Eduardo, was elected chancellor of Rio in 1992 and was re-elected in 1996 with the support of her husband. Seeing signs of independence, Bolsonaro decided to defeat him in the next election and nominated Carlos, who was only 17 years old.
The son defeated his mother, and it is a trauma that Carlos carries to this day. Bolsonaro separated from Rogeria and married Ana Cristina Valle, Jair Renan’s mother. Friends of the couple say Ana Cristina cheated on Bolsonaro and that’s why the marriage ended. Bolsonaro loves Michelle and relies on her more and more.
By making Flavio his political heir, Bolsonaro freed many people to go about their own business. If Tarcisio de Freitas, governor of São Paulo, was previously oscillating between running for re-election or the presidency, he is no longer oscillating. I have always said that I will respect Bolsonaro’s decision, whatever it is.
It was the Centrao parties that pestered Tarcisio to run for president. It seems that such parties are ready to focus from now on on legislative and state government elections. Ronaldo Caedo, Governor of Goiás State, announced that he will continue his candidacy for president. But for which party?
The União-Brasil party, which will support Tarcísio, is not considering another presidential candidate. Neither does the People’s Party, led by Senator Ciro Nogueira. Growth in Congress is what matters to them. Gilberto Casab, President of the PSD, will continue to support the candidacy for the position of President Ratinho Junior, Governor of the State of Paraná. And the mouse?
Not even his father advises him to apply. Ratinyo has certain elections for the Senate. Why replace it with something uncertain? Unless you want to sow the seeds of a new run for president in 2030. As for Romeo Zema, governor of Minas Gerais…no one thinks he can beat Lula.
Right now, Lola is laughing at the scene in front of him.
All columns from Noblat’s blog at Metropoles