consult the options for the absolute majority in the Council

These elections were brought forward due to the parliamentary blockage in the approval of regional budgets for 2026. The current president, María Guardiola (Popular Party), justified this decision by lack of support from the opposition, notably the PSOE, Vox and Unidas por Extremadura.

Just a few hours before the electoral results, decided by Extremadurians with their votes at the polls, many are wondering What might be the most likely options for forming a government within the Council?which can be predicted following the results of recent surveys.

The result of the Extremadura elections, according to polls

According to the latest GAD3 survey for ABC, the PP of María Guardiola would almost reach an absolute majority reaching 43% of the votes alone and between 31 and 32 deputies, when the majority is obtained with 33.

Meanwhile, the PSOE of Gallardo would sink compared to the previous regional elections by obtaining 27.1% of support, placing the range of seats between 19 and 20. For his part, Voice could be the key as key for the right with 15.7% of the votes and reaching the 10 deputies. United by Extremadura They are fighting to get in, but the latest polls give him 10% of the votes and six seats.

Possible pacts in Extremadura elections of 2025

If the results of the elections in Extremadura were similar to those suggested by the various polls, no political party would obtain absolute majority (33 seats)even if the People’s Party (PP) would be close to it. Several scenarios would therefore arise.

On the one hand, the PP (31-32 seats) could govern if it had the support of Vox (7-9 seats). In the best case scenario, if the investiture pact between the two right-wing parties materializes, they will obtain 41 of the 65 seats in the entire government of Extremadura.

This would allow install Guardiola as president and reissue the past alliance, even if the incomprehension of it was, in part, what caused this advance of the elections. The leader of the PP of Extremadura has not clearly expressed her position regarding the conclusion of an agreement with Vox, which could complicate the scenario of forming a government, although This right-wing union would be the most viable pact.

For him PSOEallied with United by Extremadura (Podemos-United Left (IU) – Green Alliance (AV)) would only give it 25-26 seats, very far from the majority. The PSOE could also test the regionalists to reach 28-30, but this would still be insufficient to create a government.

Calculate agreements for the majority in Extremadura

As we had predicted, in light of the electoral polls of these Extremadura elections, the candidate of the PP, María Guardiola, would repeat herself for the presidency of the Council, but it remains to be seen whether she will be able to do it alone. if he obtains an absolute majority reaching 33 seats or if, ultimately, he needs the support of another party again. Judging by the polls, this likely support would come from Vox, leaving the PSOE and Unidas por Extremadura relegated powerless to the Regional Assembly. In the website of ABC, you can view all the results.