The new Datafolha poll shows that approval of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) remains stable and technically linked to disapproval. According to the poll released on Friday (12/6), 49% of those interviewed approved of the president’s personal work, while 48% rejected it. The margin of error is two percentage points.
But in the government’s estimation, the scenario is less positive. About 32% rate management as good or excellent, compared to 37% who consider it poor or bad. 30% believe that the government is regular.
These numbers practically repeat the rates measured in September, when approval reached 33% and opposition at 38%.
Datafolha interviewed 2,002 voters in 113 cities between Tuesday (2/12) and Thursday (4/12).
Defeats and victories for Lula
According to the institute, after a brief improvement recorded at the end of the third quarter, driven by the political escalation that included the arrest of Jair Bolsonaro and the diplomatic conflict with Donald Trump, the scenario calmed down again.
In recent months, Lula has faced successive defeats in Congress, especially in the Senate, after the nomination of Jorge Mesías to the Federal Supreme Court contradicted the position of the Speaker of the Chamber of Deputies, Davi Alclumbre (Uniao Brasil-AP).
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Meanwhile, Lula announced the approval of income tax exemption for those who earn up to R$5,000, which was announced on national television last Sunday (30/11).
However, the impact on voters remains subdued: in the group of those earning 2 to 5 minimum wages, government approval rose four points, a variance within the margin of error.
The situation was already worse for Lola
Despite the recession, the situation was actually worse for Lula. In February, after the Bex crisis and a turbulent start to the year, the government’s approval fell to 24%, reaching the worst mark in the president’s three terms.
Today, the numbers are still lower compared to the rates achieved between 2003 and 2010, but they surpass Bolsonaro’s numbers during the same period of his government, which recorded 53% bad or terrible in 2021.
Datafolha concludes that the country’s mood currently remains suspended between wear and tear, polarization and frustrated expectations, and that by 2026 political conflict is already beginning to shape voters’ perception.