The assessment of the STF (Federal Supreme Court) and the National Congress fluctuated within a margin of error between July and December, according to a new study by Datafolha. During this period, important events took place in both powers, such as the trial of former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) and the handling of PEC Blindagem.
The institute interviewed 2,002 people, aged 16 or over, in 113 municipalities, from December 2 to 4. The margin of error for the total sample is 2 percentage points, plus or minus, within a 95% confidence level.
Of those surveyed, 35% said STF ministers were doing a bad or terrible job. 32% consider the work excellent or good and 29% consider it regular.
At the end of July, the respective percentages were 36%, 29% and 31%. Thus, the largest fluctuation, of three percentage points, was recorded among those who evaluate the Court’s performance positively, which now corresponds to a larger share than four months ago.
The positive evaluation of the Supreme Court has been increasing since July 2022, where 23% considered the work of ministers as excellent or good. In this survey, 33% rated it bad or terrible and 38% rated it average.
At the same time, between March 2024 and July this year, the percentage of respondents saying the work of ministers is bad increased from 28% to 36%. Over the same period, the percentage of those who rate the Court as regular fell from 40% to 31%.
The Supreme Court’s approval rating is currently highest among those aged 45 to 59 (38%), among retirees (39%), among the less educated (40%), among PT supporters (63%), among Catholics (38%), among those who judge the Lula government excellent or good (68%), and among those who are satisfied with the performance of Congress (60%).
On the other hand, the STF failure rate is higher among men (41%), among the most educated (43%), among those whose monthly family income is greater than five minimum wages (48%), among 25-34 year olds (41%), among businessmen (58%), among whites (42%), among supporters of the PL (87%), among inhabitants of the South region (43%), among evangelicals (43%). %), among those who assess how bad or terrible the Lula government is. (72%) and among those who are dissatisfied with the performance of Congress (58%).
Regarding the National Congress, 44% of those surveyed said that federal senators and deputies perform regularly. 31% said performance was poor or terrible and 21% rated it excellent or good.
Compared to July, we note a drop in the bad/terrible evaluation, at the limit of the margin of error, from 35% to 31%. The excellent/good percentage fluctuated positively over the period, from 18% to 21%.
During this period, Congress experienced moments of turbulence, such as the treatment of the Blindagem PEC, which attempted to restrict the prosecution of deputies and senators and which ended up being abandoned by the Senate following pressure from public opinion, and the removal of the president from the presidency of the Chamber of Deputies, in protest by parliamentarians against Bolsonaro’s house arrest decree.
However, none of these episodes worsened Congress’s assessment, the study shows.
Compared to the last legislature, over a similar period, the current rates are better: in December 2021, 10% of those surveyed judged the work of Congress excellent or good, 45% as average and 41% as bad or terrible.
Today, Congress’s approval rating is higher among women (24%), among the less educated (26%), among those earning up to two minimum wages (24%), among residents of the Northeast (25%), among housewives (28%), among those who rate the Lula government as excellent or good (35%), and among those who are satisfied with the performance of the STF (39%).
The highest failure rates are observed among men (36%), among the most educated (40%), among those whose monthly family income is above ten minimum wages (48%), among residents of metropolitan areas (36%), among those who evaluate the Lula government as bad or terrible (42%), and among those who are dissatisfied with the performance of the STF (52%).
About The Author
