The new Congress ceased to be a Enemy territory For Javier Miley, the area of the latent threat of impeachment – yes, even the threat that flew during these two years -, with a commission that investigated him in the LIBRA case, with a large majority that insisted even with two-thirds of veto power on university funding, the children’s emergency, and disability.
The belief that things had changed with the new configuration of the chambers was clear with Miley The stocky figure sits in a box – next to his sister – in a ceremonial pose This Wednesday, he will see his (former) ragtag bloc grow into the first minority, displacing Peronism-K. At least 95 representatives, cold and difficult.
The picture was completed a few days ago with an unprecedented Senate since 1983, due to the collapse of Peronism, whose number of seats increased from 34 to 26 legislators. La Libertad Avanza added 13 senators and reached 20 seats.
In the House of Representatives, half of the Council, 127 legislators, was renewed. In the midst of the mud that has become a large part of politics, the triumphal atmosphere of the Lebanese Liberation Party was also reflected in the expressions of denunciation and whistles issued from the boxes – which were filled by the ruling party – to the leftist representatives who swore on slogans related to human rights or workers’ rights. It is no longer the liberals who are under siege. Now a lot has been noticed.
However, still They are far from a quorum, the magic number 129 who take their seats to start the session Finally, a majority was formed to approve the draft law.
The two polarized blocs – LLA and Peronism – make up 73% of the chamber’s members.
The other forces were largely To be beaten In the October 26 elections They regrouped as best they could to maintain weight and advantage. (Translated to authorities, places in commissions).
like united provinces, Referees include Martin Larriura (Córdoba), Maximiliano Pollaro (Santa Fe) and others. Or the Second Army of the Governors, led by Gustavo Saenz (Salta).
Still dwindling, he was electorally defeated in October, They will continue to be the rulers of the place.
The LLA is represented by 95 deputies A great opportunity for the government. It is safe to assume that he will add allies to the remaining 12 members of the pro-party, and perhaps to the six members of the officially sanctioned USSR (several extremists, starting with the outgoing Chairman of the National Committee, Martin Loustow, are already joining the United Provinces).
Thus, with the PRO, the official UCR and if the regional dialogues of federal innovation are added, The number of propensities grows in magic: 120 commandments, 9 of the quorum. It has yet to influence relevant blocs and former allies.
But in any case, it was achieved By negotiation and consensus.
When Macri took power in 2015, Cambimos had 87 deputies. But he knew how to articulate and align interests with the mass bloc (at that time with a large internal bloc of its own) and the justice bloc that responded to non-EU rulers. The years 2016 and 2017 were positive for Macri at the parliamentary level.
In the 2017 midterm elections, Campemos extended the yellow paint to much of the national map. It seems to be on a path towards unstoppable dominance. The number of deputies grew to 108 deputies. But the financial crisis happened, and the government rushed to seek help from the International Monetary Fund and began the downward path that led to the reinstatement of the fourth K-government in 2019.
Congress is always sensitive and generally attached to the overall progress of governments, especially the economy. In times when loyalties are more fluid than ever.
In his first two years in office, Miley faced threats from Congress and suffered major disappointments. But also, “politics” in its broader sense (radical supporters and allies, Peronist rulers, regional forces, etc.) still exists. They gave him the tools of government: Exploited resources in his spare time with an outdated budget, extended for two unprecedented terms; basic law; DNU 70 (which was rejected by the Senate, but did not reach the House).
In the new stage, the ruling party It faces the challenge of enacting legislation, not obstructing the opposition’s progress – on the defensive. In “Exceptions,” this path begins with balancing and then reforming the work whose text is not yet known.
Regarding the formation of representatives after the preparatory session on Wednesday, there are those who expect more moves.
Political scientist Pablo Salinas points out that with two large blocs such as the LLA and Union por la Patria, which concentrate on 73% of the seats, “It is not strategic to stay in small blocs for any MP When thinking about distributing commissions. “So we’re starting to see a trend toward larger groups of representatives.”
He points out that the next few days may leave “a much smaller number of seats than in the first two years of Miley’s government.”