A detailed analysis of the vote is needed to confirm the eventual victory of the far right Nasri “Tito” Asfoura In the elections in Honduras, this must be attributed to the strong support he received from him Donald Trump. Nor did this prove unexpected, due to his overwhelming victory over Javier Miley In October in Argentina.
At the moment, it is difficult to identify a behavioral pattern among Latin American voters who were lured out of the White House: in the middle of both elections, a referendum was held on Daniel NoboaOne of his other allies in Ecuador. It was a Strong rejection of projects ranging from constitutional reform to the re-establishment of a US military base (And the possibility of working in the Galapagos).
True, Trump did not do this support It is clear to Noboa’s initiatives in Ecuador, as was the candidacy of Asfora in Honduras and the Maili government in Argentina. But he has already made it clear that the Argentines and Hondurans will not get any help from Washington if they vote against his wishes. Last night, facing a hypothetical technical tie in Tegucigalpa that predicted a conflict, Trump issued a threat on his Social Truth platform: “It appears that (the ruling party in) Honduras is trying to change the results. And if they do, there will be dire consequences!”
Authoritarians don’t like this
The practice of professional and critical journalism is an essential pillar of democracy. This is why it bothers those who believe they are the bearers of the truth.
Although we do not know the extent of Trump’s influence on the Argentine elections, it is assumed to be important.
A study conducted by the consulting company Opina Argentina, for the analyst Facundo NigamkesBefore the election, it showed that 60% of Argentine voters had a negative image of Trump (“very negative” for 51%), while 36% had a positive image (“very positive” for 14%). This perception could have changed after the North American Treasury bailout: according to the same consulting firm, For 53%, Trump’s financial rescue of Milley was beneficial for ArgentinaWhile it was harmful by 40%. after the elections, 50% supported the trade agreement announced by the United States with Argentina, while 45% opposed it..
Alarm sirens sound against Venezuela: Donald Trump spoke with Nicolas Maduro but deployed 15,000 troops in the Caribbean
There is no doubt that Trump has launched a method since the elections in Argentina: It will not refrain from interfering openly in the electoral processes in the region if it deems it necessary. Thus, it distributes rewards and punishments.
On Sunday the 21st, Chile will go into a second round between the Communist candidate and the ruling party Janet Jara and ultra-conservative José Antonio Castwidely favourite. Next year, Peru will elect a president in April, and Colombia in May. In both countries, the far right will present an era that might interest Trump in its candidates. In addition, Brazil will elect its president in October. Lola da SilvaHe, who has just turned eighty years old, expected that he would seek re-election (he will run for a fourth term, after the current term and the two terms at the beginning of the century, between 2003 and 2010), with Jair Bolsonaro Imprisoned and disqualified for life for his attempted coup in 2023; His wife, Michelle, and his son, Eduardo, appear as potential candidates for the Brazilian far right, in addition to the governor of São Paulo state. Tarcisio de FreitasWall Street favorites.
Although Brazil is the main target in Trump’s strategy to consolidate right-wing hegemony in the region, Trump has acted pragmatically towards the main economy in Latin America and the eighth largest economy in the world. After his meeting with Lula within the framework of the ASEAN Summit in Malaysia, he reduced customs duties on imports of Brazilian products, which he had increased last July, to 50%, as punishment for Bolsonaro’s conviction. If the tariffs on meat and coffee imports had been maintained, they would have had a strong impact on prices for North American consumers.
Marines in Venezuela
Yesterday, Trump met with the National Security Council to discuss the situation in Venezuela. This was after he confirmed that he had a conference call with him Nicolas MaduroAs the American press expected by the end of the week.
Donald Trump spoke with Nicolas Maduro: ‘Things were neither good nor bad’
After two months of operations carried out by the North American Navy against drug trafficking in the southern Caribbean, which resulted in more than eighty extrajudicial executions on the high seas, and after the virtual closure of Venezuelan airspace, Trump is calling for Maduro’s departure. The White House spokesman said that all options related to Venezuela are on the table Caroline Levitt. They range from the voluntary departure of Nicolas Maduro to the deployment of troops on Venezuelan territory.
The former Supreme Commander of NATO and a retired US Navy admiral warned CNN that Trump is “prepared to launch air strikes” as a final step to “convince Maduro” to accept an agreement in which he is considering his departure from Venezuela. James Stavridis. He said the military forces deployed in the Caribbean “are too large to be dedicated simply to combating drug trafficking. This is a regime change.”
The clock is also ticking for Trump, who has just suffered severe electoral defeats and whose popularity is collapsing. Yesterday, the White House spokesman had to face criticism regarding the attack, last September 2, on two survivors of a boat that was supposed to be transporting drugs to the United States, by order of the head of the Pentagon. Pete Hegseth The press denounced him last week. The voice has begun to rise among Democrats.
But with the exception of Lula, the North American presence in the Caribbean has not raised sharp questions among center-left or progressive governments in Latin America. Mexico is acting quietly for geographical and economic reasons. An attempt to condemn the attacks at the recent CELAC summit (in which Miley did not participate) failed. It is understood that Maduro failed to fulfill all his obligations, leading Venezuela into a complete dictatorship after rigging last year’s presidential elections, and deepening his isolation.
Trump convenes his security cabinet and evaluates new steps against Maduro amid complaints of attacks in the Caribbean
But there may be other, equally strong reasons to tolerate a US military operation in the region: according to a study conducted by the US Intel and Bloomberg Atlas Of the nearly 7,000 Latin Americans, including Venezuelans, deployed last month, 58.3% considered Venezuela to be on its way to becoming a drug state, and 53% would support US military intervention to oust Maduro. Results that are inconsistent with the measurement YouGov Commissioned by CBS. Known a week ago: 70% of Americans reject military action in Venezuela.
DCQ