Comparing this data with the previous Datafolha survey, carried out in September, the fluctuation of the perception indices is within the margin of error.
The Datafolha Institute has published the results of its latest evaluation survey of the government of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT). The survey, carried out between December 2 and 4, allowed us to hear 2002 voters aged 16 or over 113 municipalities of Brazil. The estimated margin of error for the general survey is two percentage points, give or take.
The government’s assessment was classified as “excellent” Or “GOOD” put 32% of those interviewed, while 37% considered her “bad” Or “terrible”. The portion classified as “regular” management totaled 30%.
Comparing this data with the previous Datafolha survey, carried out in September, the fluctuation of the perception indices is within the margin of error. In September, approval (“excellent” Or “GOOD”) came from 33%disapproval (“bad” Or “terrible”) came from 38%And 28% considered the government “regular”. The institute, based on the margin of error, concluded that the number of respondents who rate management as “GOOD” Or “excellent” remained at a stable level.
The survey also details the population’s perception of President Lula’s personal performance. In this regard, the general outlook is also one of stability, presenting figures slightly higher than management’s assessment. A total of 49% of voters said they approved of Lula’s individual work, which represents a slight increase compared to the 48% from the September survey. The disapproval remained 48%the same index recorded during the previous survey.
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Great or Good: 32% (reduction of 1 percentage point compared to 33% September).
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Regular: 30% (increase of 2 percentage points compared to 28% September).
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Bad or Terrible: 37% (reduction of 1 percentage point compared to 38% September).
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I don’t know/I didn’t answer: 1% (reduction of 1 percentage point compared to 2% September).
The Datafolha survey highlights that the president’s approval standards continue to be aligned with specific socioeconomic and geographic areas. Population groups such as those over 60 (40%), the less educated (44%), the population of the North-East region (43%) and Catholics (40%) had “excellent” or “good” assessment rates above the national average.
On the other hand, groups with a higher incidence of failure (“bad” or “terrible”) include those with higher education (46%), voters who have a monthly income of five to ten minimum wages (53%), the inhabitants of the Southern region (45%) and the evangelicals (49%).
The research also sought to capture the potential impact of economic policies, such as the income tax exemption for income up to R$5,000. Among workers earning between two and five minimum wages, President Lula’s approval rating increased by four points. However, Datafolha considers this variation to be within the margin of error for this specific section, preventing a categorical conclusion on a clear electoral impact at this time.
In a historical comparison, President Lula presents a better assessment than his predecessor, Jair Bolsonaro, during the same period (2021) of the mandate. At that time, Bolsonaro registered 53% “bad” or “terrible” evaluation and only 22% of “great” or “good”. Current research on the Lula government and its popularity ratings demonstrates a scenario of stability in public perception, as measured by Datafolha.