If the fine print of the Labor reform that drives Javier Milei in it congressbrings a new survey two auspicious dates for him president: on the one hand, The majority demands change to improve the employment situation; On the other hand, it confirms that Bad image of the unionsthe shock group, which could (supposedly) try to stop the project.
The study did Explanationsa Córdoba-based consulting firm that reached its peak in the media when it accurately predicted the outcome of the 2023 presidential runoff election.
Now the company presented a Survey of 6,152 casesinterviewed in the whole country between November 5th and 11th, with a margin of error of +/- 1.25%. Clarion He advanced a very attractive part of the work: there the respondents give the national government a score.
Regarding labor reform, their Draft They come and argue Government, unions and business people in the context of May CouncilDetails are not yet known. Only a few discussion points that had already caused controversy were excluded: for example, the possibility of an upper limit for severance payments in the event of dismissals.
Because of this lack of precision, the study appears to reflect a confirmation of political positions on a Milei initiative, with groups supporting or opposing it without knowing it exactly.
In a country with almost 50% black employmentand after his resounding election victory which guarantees him more weight in Congress, it is understood that Milei has chosen this moment to promote the changes. And this is to some extent reflected in the conclusions of the work:
Support/opposition to labor reform
Based on a national survey of 6,145 cases
“This report is linked to the debate on labor reform Six out of ten Argentines believe it is necessary. 43.1% fully support Milei’s proposal, while 18.7% call for a different reform. At the other extreme, about 30% reject it completely.”
“As with other topics, this one The positions are reconfigured depending on age and gender: between Young people aged 18 to 30He 63.2% of men support the Milei reform, compared to 40.6% of women, a gap that widens even further when comparing young men with women over 50 years old.
The other point in the Government’s favour, as stated at the beginning of the note, is that bad image of their negotiating partner: the unions. Many people do not believe in the role of union members as defenders of labor rights and rather see them as defenders of their own private interests.
Explanans calls for an “assessment of trade unions today” and the scale that emerges is impressive: only 2.6% have a “very good” image of the trade unions, 12.4% a “good”, 29% a “bad” and 49% a “very bad”. The remaining 7% “don’t know”.
When it is reduced to positive and negativeHe Support to the unions adds 15% against 78% from Rejection.
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