Voting projections nine months before the election obviously do not reflect what will come out of the polls. The rejection measurements, however, give a clue. They show how the electorate perceives the presumed contenders.
The opinion expressed by Datafolha is not at all good for the names most representative of the supporters competing in the last two elections. President Lula (PT) and the Bolsonaros (all PL) are at the top of the ranking of those rejected.
The top five places are occupied by Jair (45%), Luiz Inácio (44%), Flávio (38%), Eduardo (37%) and Michelle (35%) – these are the percentages of voters who would not vote for them under any circumstances.
The clues may reflect the knowledge level of this class. And it could also be that they translate the saying “he who does not know that you should buy you”.
A more accurate indicator of voter preference would be one that combines a high level of knowledge with a low rejection rate. The second battalion of aspirants and/or candidates displays negative figures which vary between 21% —Ratinho Júnior (PSD-PR) and Romeu Zema (Novo-MG)— and 18% —Ronaldo Caiado (União-GO)—, including 20% for Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicanos-SP).
The study did not measure the extent to which each of the governors mentioned is publicly known, but it is natural that the team of governors does not, at this stage, have national influence or prestige comparable to that of the group from, say, the first level.
Significantly, 50% of respondents said they would not vote for an appointee of the former president. The absence of similar information on Lula’s appointments is due to the fact that the current president has no competitors to compete with him in his field.
In the spontaneous part of the survey, 60% still do not know who they would vote for or would opt for blank and invalid votes. Therefore, those that are little known have, in theory, room to grow.
Or not, depending on what they offer when the electoral campaign leaves the field of lucubrations of the political world and becomes part of the real life of Brazilians dissatisfied with the goods on display.
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