And almost no one can, beyond public rhetoric, internally deny that this result reflects a notable erosion of the party and of the president of the government himself, Pedro Sanchezwho participated in the campaign.
Currently, thinking at Moncloa and the party leadership is focused on finding a way out of this situation and what elements of the results can be used to their advantage for the rest of the electoral cycle, including future general elections, and to try to exhaust the legislative power.
The first emergency public intervention is the most useful in trying to separate from Miguel Angel Gallardoand these are the first lines of the socialist argument.
From there, Sánchez predicted in the PSOE Executive after the elections that lost votes will return to the general election.
The socialist leader is relying on the idea that a notable percentage of his votes in 2023 have now gone to abstention. It is negative, demonstrating the incapacity of not having been able to mobilize its electorate; But it is positive that in theory there is a recoverable vote, because these citizens have not made the decision to support another political option.
The plan, according to socialist sources, is to find a way to recover these votes for future elections. Let the left electorate once again consider it worth voting for the PSOE so that progressive policies are maintained. “That they have reasons to vote for us again“, they explain.
The effort will be to seek policies such as the social shield, the increase in the interprofessional minimum wage and others similar to make them coincide with the successive electoral campaigns, that is to say those of Aragon, Castile and León and then the Andalusia.
“The PP comes out of the closet”
Furthermore, Moncloa considers it positive that the PP has “come out of the closet” to have to admit that its desire is to reach an agreement with Vox, whenever it can, as the PP spokesperson in Congress, Ester Muñoz, explained yesterday to EL ESPAÑOL.
In this way, as they explain, the word of Alberto Nuñez Feijóo swear and perjure that there will be no agreement with Vox or that there will be no far-right ministers in a hypothetical PP government in Spain.
Looking at the continuity of the legislature until 2027, the socialists understand that the PP manages, with the announcement of a pact with Vox, to unify the investiture bloc on which Sánchez relied in 2023.
This reinforces what Podemos usually calls the “malmenorism“, because now there is no doubt that on the other side is Vox, hand in hand with the PP. It is clear what the “alternative” is, they explain.
Junts and the PNV already know that PP and Vox will agree and that any agreement with them would harm them in the eyes of their voters in Catalonia and the Basque Country.
This reinforces Sánchez’s negotiation strategy with his partners, based on the idea that they can only get something now, because later there could be a PP and Vox government with which it would be impossible for them to reach an agreement.
At the same time, the PP will no longer be able to invoke the useful vote to attract “anti-sanchista” voters, because It will be the same to vote for Feijóo as for Abascal, always according to the interpretation of the socialists. With this idea, they will propose successive electoral campaigns.
In fact, they plan to exploit the image of Santiago Abascal as future vice-president of the Feijóo governmentthe two parties forming an electoral tandem during the general elections.
The electoral gymkhana
This impression, as the socialists explain, will be further accentuated in the months to come after the successive regional elections.
The PSOE deduces that there is a change in the position of the PP, which now He is interested in the entry of Vox into autonomous governmentsbecause Abascal’s men clearly benefited from leaving them more than a year ago.
The PP assumed the costs of daily management and events such as the dana in the Valencian Community or the forest fires in Castilla y León.
But the analysis of the PSOE is that those of Abascal will continue not to enter these governments, pending the general elections.
In any case, they understand that Feijóo will emerge weaker from the electoral gymkhana that the PP leader has put in place. And this could have an internal impact within the main opposition party, where impatience could grow with Feijóo’s inability to get rid of Vox and, therefore, be able to govern alone.
Part of the The concern of the coming months for Moncloa is in the space to its left, in which they observe movements aimed at achieving difficult unity to avoid the terrible negative effect that separate general elections would have.
There is no concern about the manifesto promoted by the former minister Jordi Seville against Sánchez, because they consider that the promoters and potential signatories lack strength in the current PSOE.
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