The Climate forecasts for Christmas 2025 offer a differentiated panorama for New York. While long-term forecasts are expected Winter conditions In much of the state, the shorter-term forecasts show a more complex scenario sudden temperature changes, rain, strong wind and cold.
The Forecasts from The Old Farmer’s Almanac for the Christmas week They take different conditions into account depending on the region. For the Northeast of the United States, which includes the federal state new Yorkthe organization expected a Period characterized by very cold temperatures and the Presence of intermittent snowfall.
The forecast was not presented as a daily detail, but as a regional trend Designed specifically for those traveling on vacation.
In this context The Old Farmer’s Almanac pointed out Much of the Northeast could face snow-covered roads and persistent winter conditionswith episodes of solid precipitation that would complicate circulation.
This description placed the New York State within the strip with the highest probability of snow during Christmas weekunlike other regions of the North American country, which would have clear skies and milder temperatures.
The National Weather Service (NWS) report. for New York City announced that starting Thursday, December 18, a high pressure system will gradually move away, giving way to the Entry of cold fronts and a more unstable scenario.
In the first few days, the NWS stated this The area will experience a dry and relatively mild periodwith temperatures rising above freezing. The Maxims will be between 40°F and 50°F (approx. 4°C to 9°C), which promotes a significant thawing of the previous snow cover.
The panorama will suddenly change towards the end of the week. During the year a strong cold front moves in from the west Thursday evening and Friday morningaccompanied by heavy rain and gusts of wind.
The NWS warned that wind speeds could reach between 45 and 50 miles per hour (72 to 80 km/h), with a low chance of exceeding 55 miles per hour (89 km/h) in certain areas, particularly along the coast.
The passage of this cold front will bring with it significant drop in temperature and a change in the type of precipitation. The agency noted that colder air could move in behind the front Mixture of rain and snow inlandalthough rain would initially prevail in the city. When the system moves away, the cold air sucked in returns Conditions will become more wintery towards Friday evening and Saturday.
The temperatures will fall below freezing again at nightwith lower daily maximums than in the previous days. However, the NWS report made this clear Rainfall will ease quickly and the weekend will begin with dry weather and seasonal colda factor that limits the possibility of significant snow accumulations in the city.
In order to measure the true probabilities, it is important to understand the official definition. In the United States, the National Weather Service expects this to happen A white Christmas occurs when there is at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of December 25th. A light snowfall or individual flakes isn’t enough, but the key is that it accumulates and is visible.
Under this criterion applies a snowfall that occurred days before that manages to last until Christmas also counts if this minimum threshold is exceeded. This detail explains why some Christmases are considered “white” even if there is no snow on the morning of December 25th.
A report from Fox NewsThe analysis by meteorologist Nick Gregory provided concrete figures on expectations. According to this review New York City only has an 11 percent chance of experiencing a white Christmas in 2025. The data comes from statistical analysis and the expected conditions for the days before the holiday.
The The last white Christmas in the Big Apple took place last yearwhile Before that we had to go back to 2009. On other notable occasions, such as in 2002, Central Park recorded five inches (12.7 centimeters) of snow.
He Christmas snowfall record was seven inches (17.78 centimeters) in 1909while the greatest recorded depth reached eight inches (20.32 centimeters) in 1912.
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