
The war of extermination between the powers of the Republic is a war in which everyone loses, said Antonio Carlos Magalhães, one of the civilian agents of the 64-year-old military dictatorship, three times governor of Bahia, who died in 2007 at the age of 79, but who in his state is still revered today. “It’s the worst war.”
If in recent months a war of this magnitude seemed to be brewing in Brazil between the three powers (executive, legislative and judicial), the danger has passed, if not completely, at least in part. The grenade pin has been put back in its place, if possible. Brasilia has the atmosphere of a “Christmas deal”.
After intense negotiations, the Chamber approved the reduction of the sentence of the January 8 putschists with the blessing of the Federal Court. The Senate is expected to endorse the House’s decision next week, without changing it. Lula will veto it. But in February or March, Congress will override the veto with the Supreme Court’s approval.
Minister Gilmar Mendes suspended part of his decision that limited impeachment proceedings against members of the Supreme Court and set the Senate on fire. As compensation, the Senate agreed to review the 1950 Impeachment Act to update it to the liking of Gilmar and his colleagues.
It remains to be seen whether MPs under investigation for misuse of public funds via amendments to the Union Budget will continue to be the target of Minister Flávio Dino. There are about 80 deputies at minimum and 200 at maximum out of a total of 513. The trial of three of them is – or was – scheduled for February.
Dino feels that his desire for justice is not shared by most of his peers. If this is true, he does not want to be left alone and become the target of attacks in Congress. Even more so in an election year. Although he wears a toga, he remains influential in the politics of Maranhão, a state he governed twice.
The “Christmas deal” would include the withdrawal of Senator Flávio Bolsonaro’s separate candidacy for president. After all, he said his candidacy came at a price. His father asked his allies to approve the plan that would reduce his sentence. And the price set by Flávio “Rachadinha” is being paid.
Centrão, which brings together the main right-wing parties, wants Tarcísio de Freitas, governor of São Paulo, to reconsider his candidacy for the presidency. Flávio will be able to readjust the price he charged by demanding the vice-presidential position on Tarcísio’s ticket. He will have his father’s support if Tarcísio ends up giving up running for office.
However, it cannot be ruled out that father and son play a trick in Centrão. In this case, Flávio will remain a candidate until the end so that the name Bolsonaro does not disappear from the ballot boxes.
Merry Christmas. Happy “Acordão” for those who love jeitinhos.
All the columns of Noblat’s blog in Metropoles