The countdown for the electric car to overtake the combustion car

He said it with firm voice In a recent interview with the newspaper New Osnabrücker Zeitung: Ferdinand Dudenhofer predicted that the electric cars They will be cheaper than those with internal combustion in 2030. He electric buzz He is approaching…and with force.

Who says it? This is not enlightened: Dudenhoffer has worked on brands such as Citroën, Opel either Porsche and directs the CAR Center (Automotive Research Center)which analyzes the overall development of the automobile market from Germany.

The numbers start to add up

China steps on the accelerator

• THE Chinese manufacturers can produce electric cars 30% cheaper.
• Brands like BYD either M.G. Already beat Volkswagen in sales into several segments.
• Europe seeks to stop this wave with duty…but he’s late.

Cheaper, longer lasting batteries

• The arrival of solid state batteries reduce weight and charging time.
• THE costs per kWh we came down from 1,000 for less than €150 in a decade.
• They should fall below 100 €/kWh Before 2028.

The regulatory factor: 2035 as a horizon

In addition to the technological evolutionthe expert underlines the normative pressure: THE EU maintains ban sell new cars combustion from 2035even if some countries ask to relax it. This framework will further encourage pure electric.

What about the average buyer?

Dudenhoffer makes a clear recommendation: anyone who is not in a hurry should wait. The next generation of electric will be more affordablewith better autonomy And reduced total cost of ownership. Meanwhile, the plug-in hybrids or the rental These are safe options.

Comparison: electric vs gasoline (2025 vs 2030)