“The reference is the governors”

The political analyst assured that the president was negotiating not with Peronism, but with provincial leaders, and spoke about the problems of the opposition

12/13/2025 – 7:01 p.m

President Javier Milei’s government, despite a historic minority in Congress, has managed to sidestep initial questions about his ability to govern and find an unexpected “key” to implementing his agenda: provincial governors. This was stated by the renowned political analyst Rosendo Fraga, who claimed that the axis of the ruling party’s political negotiations had shifted from the traditional opposition blocs to the territorial power of the provinces. For Fraga, The reference to who the government is speaking to “does not refer to Peronism, but to the provincial leaders.”

This new “provincial geopolitics,” which the analyst says has changed and will continue to change, is based on the greater weight that the provinces gained with the 1994 constitutional reform, particularly through land ownership and their more balanced political power in the Senate. This dynamic manages to displace the center of power that was historically concentrated in the Buenos Aires metropolitan area, an area that dominated national politics for decades.

Rosendo Fraga’s analysis of the Milei government: ability to govern, fragmented opposition and the role of Peronism

Speaking to Radio Rivadavia, Rosendo Fraga emphasized that the government had managed to govern despite the “very unfavorable” relationship between the legislative forces. This managerial ability is favored by an important external factor: a “divided opposition, a disjointed opposition” and a traditional Peronism that, in his opinion, is in decline and has no consolidated leadership.

The expert stressed that while fragmented Peronism is a scenario to consider, the real negotiating pole lies in the provincial capitals. This territorial reality will be crucial at the legislative level. In fact, Fraga predicted that despite the ruling minority, “Congress will pass the budget, which will be Milei’s first year with a congressionally approved budget,” which would mark a significant political victory for the administration.

As for the economic outlook, the political analyst identified the fundamental problem that Argentina has faced for half a century: the chronic shortage of dollars. Fraga categorically pointed out that “for 50 years all Argentine governments have had the same problem, they don’t have enough dollars,” and stated that “failure to accumulate reserves is the Achilles heel” for the country’s long-term stability. The expert considered that the change that this government must bring is precisely to resolve this recurring drama.

Finally, Fraga’s analysis addressed a sensitive point in management: social conflict. The analyst highlighted what he said was an “important success” by the government in containing protest on public streets. He noted that “people have stopped protesting in the streets,” showing the government’s ability to manage social conflict, at least in its street expression.