- Anti-immigration speech
- A different electorate
- Vox focuses on the urban center
- Aliança and the protest vote
- Zero relationships but no attacks
According to the latest barometer of Opinion Research Center of the Generalitat of Catalonia, Catalan alliance continues its ascent.
Silvia Orriols’ men could arrive up to 20 MPs in Parliament with his anti-immigration and pro-independence speech. This poll suggests that Junts could lose 20% of its electorate to Aliança, who would also manage to convince 9% of Vox voters in Catalonia.
Anti-immigration speech
Vox and Aliança share the same flag: the speech against illegal immigration, massive and uncontrolled. However, in the ranks of those of Abascal in this region They are not afraid of the rise of the Orriols in Catalonia. Vox sources in Catalonia consulted by this media assure that they are competing for “very different electorates”.
A different electorate
In Catalonia, the motivation when voting remains mainly due to national issues. “Anyone who knows Catalonia knows that there are two very different communities in terms of national axis, language, etc. », assure these sources. They recognize that Vox, before the appearance of Aliança Catalana, had also collected some votes from people declaring themselves separatists, but this still remained an anecdote. “THE emergence of an anti-immigration party what part of separatist positions It was a question of time, because it was an empty space,” they add from Vox.
Vox focuses on the urban center
Currently, the training led by Ignacio Garriga in Catalonia focuses on “collecting all the informationoto of discontent with the PSOE and with the non-Catalan abstention“This mass of voters lives in the Barcelona metropolitan area and we must take into account that the province of Barcelona alone has more than six million inhabitants (Catalonia has eight in total). Vox Catalonia sources admit that AC will benefit from the electoral law (especially in Girona and Lérida), but the number of voters is much lower in deep and rural Catalonia.
They are not worried about the rise of Orriols because, among other reasons, they consider that he has a very obvious ceiling due to his “Hispanophobic” positions. At Vox they are convinced that they are managing to penetrate “slowly but surely into the areas that have the most potential voters, although obviously, because of our national discourse, we also have a ceiling”.
Aliança and the protest vote
At Vox, they consider that the reason why Catalan alliance leads some voters from Vox and the non-separatist spectrum, it is because “they collect part of the anti-political protest vote“. These sources emphasize that it is “a borrowed vote, a protest votevery changeable and not very faithful. » They acknowledge that at the beginning they capitalized on this vote, but “Vox is no longer new. » Later, this vote was taken up by the SALF. In Catalonia, the Alvise brand obtained 70,000 votes in the European elections.
Internally, they emphasize that the emergence of Alvise hurt them a lot more “than the worst VOX-AC transfer forecasts” they process.
Zero relationships but no attacks
Currently the conversations and collaboration between the two parties are null and non-existent. Neither wants to take the step of reconciling positions so as not to “whitewash” the separatists or the Spanish supporters in the face of their electorate. However, they are aware that they need each other. “They go where we don’t go, and we go where they don’t go,” these sources emphasize.
The position of the Abascal on Catalan lands is that of do not seek direct confrontation with Orriols because they know that they share ideological flags on immigration, security and even international politics and that in a few years there could be “a change of majority in the Parliament of Catalonia which will finally tip the scales on issues, notably immigration”.
Even if he recognizes that “it is inevitable” that there will be a small percentage of vote transfer Regarding AC, internal party sources emphasize that it continues to be the party with the greatest loyalty of voters and with the most projection among young people.
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