Inflation will end the year at a much lower figure than in 2024. Experts believe it will continue its downward trend, according to the latest inflation survey results. Market Expectations Survey (REM) October published Central Bank This November.
It contains the main estimates on Economic inflationthe Economic activityhe dollaramong other issues. This report was prepared between October 29 and 31 with the participation of… 42 consulting companies and financial bodies.
In this they estimate inflation for October 2.2% per monthan increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to the previous survey, a figure very close to official inflation (2.3% per month). They also expressed some moderation for the end of the year.
What are inflation expectations?
Analysts in the aforementioned REM movement believe that inflation by the end of the year will be within limits 2% on average and follow a downward trajectory towards A 1.6% per month in April. On the other hand, analysts and experts, in more recent forecasts, see this November will be above 2% again.
Food, drinks, transportation and prices It will be the main driver of Economic inflation In the eleventh month of this year. In this sense since Ecojo He sees that inflation in November will be around 2.5% per month.
They highlight this, make corrections Regulated pricesespecially the rates where Gas and electricity Increases were more than 3%, fresh produce such as Meat And update National judicial bus ticketThat is, about 30% of the lines that rotate in Amba.
In parallel, Economicsin our latest price survey, discovered a difference in 0.7% In the third week of November, to pick up a basket of food and drinks in supermarkets in Greater Buenos Aires.
In fact, they highlighted the increases that occurred this week in the region Woofwith an increase 4.4%Although the grocer recorded a decrease of 1.3%. The same applies to the agency Basic life-saving condomsFood and beverages reported weekly inflation 1.5% In the third week of November.
“Average inflation has accelerated in the past four weeks to 3.3%the measurement between the parties increased to 3.8% And so far this month, it’s accumulating 3.6%The report stressed that “Meat alone explains a third of overall inflationFollowed by increases in beverages and dairy products.
Finally, the cooperative Free consumers detailed, in its latest survey, that the 21 products that make up… “Basic food basket” He had a raise 3.43% In the first half of November, it accumulated 27.73% So far this year. It must be remembered that this organization is responsible for analyzing the prices of warehouse items, meat, fruits and vegetables in supermarkets and neighboring businesses in the city of Buenos Aires.
The increases continue to occur despite current government policy Open imports To put pressure on prices in the local market.
According to a report Argentine Commercial Stock Exchange (ICA)From January to October, he entered Food and drinks are essential And the basics for home consumption in total $702 millionwhich means there is a difference between years in 47.7%.
In parallel with this sector “Food and beverages intended primarily for the home” They added 1,220 million US dollars With an annual increase of 82.7%.