Extremadurans have an appointment with the polls before the end of the year. Maria GuardiolaPresident of the Regional Government of Extremadura, announced last October the call for early elections for Sunday December 21given the impossibility of approving next year’s budgets due to the unanimous rejection of the opposition.
“No budget We do not have the tools necessary to continue creating jobs and protecting families.. We are not going to allow a blockade because some of us are not here to hang on the sofa, we are here to transform Extremadura to stimulate the growth of this region. And if there comes a time when the groups are rocketing and not allowing that to happen, then it will have to be the citizens who express themselves, that democracy has the tools for that, I “I am not afraid to listen to the Extremadurians.”declared the regional president to justify the first electoral advance in Extremadura.
THE electoral campaign which began on December 5, coinciding with the birthday of the President of Extremadurawill last until the 19th. Faced with this situation, several surveys have been published to find out how the political map of Extremadura could be configured.
What do the polls say?
The latest barometer prepared by the DYM Institute for 20 minutes collect a comfortable advantage for María Guardiola, who faces the last week of the campaign with 42.9% voting intentionagainst 31.8% of The PSOE, which begins to collapse with 31.8%. This would anticipate a situation that is not at all similar to that of the previous elections, when the PP and PSOE were tied with 28 seats. The survey therefore reflects a difference in which the popular would obtain 29 to 31 deputiescompared to the 21 to 23 seats that Gallardo’s PSOE would achieve.
He The role of VOX would be just as important as in previous electionssince according to the survey it could reach 7 to 9 deputies with a voting intention of 12%against the 5 he obtained in the previous elections. For his part, United by Extremadura (the brand of the coalition between Podemos and IU) could increase to at least five or six seats, compared to the 4 it has so farwith a voting intention of 8%. Minimal growth that could happen due to the decline of the PSOE.
What does Electromania say?
Another of the surveys available is the one prepared by Electromanía. The regional ElectroPanel launched an update on December 8. According to this survey, The PP and PSOE would be the main parties to share the majority of seats of the Parliament of Extremadura. The PP, led by María Guardiola, remains the leading force. The survey gives you 41.8% voting intentions. This translates to 29 places.
Behind, the PSOE stands at 33.8%with 23 seats. Voice It would be the third force in the Parliament of Extremadura with a voting intention of 13.6%, or 9 seats, while United we can He closes with 6.8%, which translates to 4 seats.
It should be remembered that the majority of the Extremadura Assembly stands at 33 seats. This means that The Popular Party could not proceed alone with the inauguration of María Guardiola. They would need the support of Vox, which would obtain greater representation compared to the 2023 results. On the other hand, the left forces are far from being in the majority. The sum of their seats would not be enough to obtain an Extremadura government of Miguel Angel Gallardo.
The 2023 elections produced a very similar result. PP and PSOE tied with 28 seats. A balance which ultimately tipped in favor of the PP thanks to Vox’s five seats.
What does the IEC say?
For his part, according to latest barometer of the CIS for Extremadura, published at the end of November 2025, The PP would lead the regional elections with 38.5% of the votesfollowed by the PSOE with 31.6% and Vox with 17.3%. Concerning the projection of seat distribution, The PP would evolve in a range between 25 and 29 seatsthe PSOE between 19 and 22, VOX between 10 and 12 seats and Podemos-IU-AV could reach up to 6 or 7 seats.
The CIS also asked during the investigation carried out from November 21 to 25 by the main problem of Extremadura. He 19.2% think that unemployment This is the main problem in Extremadura, infrastructure – such as trains, tolls – is the biggest problem for 15.1% and Health comes in third position with 7.8%. Likewise, 42.8% of Extremadura residents believe that the current situation in Extremadura is “very good or good”, 41.5% say it is “bad or very bad” and 14.6% find it “fair”.
As for the candidate evaluation For the presidency, María Guardiola has an average of 5.63, Miguel Ángel Gallardo obtains a score of 3.68, Óscar Fernández a score of 3.60, Irene de Miguel a score of 4.10 and Raúl Fernández a score of 3.87. So, IThe current president of the community, María Guardiola, would be the favorite for 37.3% of those questioned.
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