- Fragmentation of the opposition and possible runoff elections in 2027
The government of Javier Milei closes the year with Signs of recovery in its public image and with good news regarding the start of its structural reforms, as shown in the latest edition national survey des Trend advice.
The survey was conducted in 2,000 cases between December 4 and 9 and reflected what the presidential administration had achieved 51% positive reviews compared to 46% negative opinions, This represents an improvement of 4 percentage points compared to the previous survey.
He 29% classifies it as “Very good” and the 22% as “Good”while the 35% leans towards option “Very bad” and the 11% from “Bad”.
Measurements were also carried out as part of the consultation general mood of the population. He 48% expressed positive feelings about the future of the country, This surpasses the 38% who expressed negative feelings by 10 points.
This improvement in the social climate is in contrast to the panorama from three months agowhen pessimism dominated the scene after the midterm elections.
However, that is Expectations for the second part of the mandate showed a tighter balance. 47% to have explained high expectationsjust 5 points above the 42% who expressed low expectations. In addition, 9% were inclined to believe that everything was “as it is”.
Another of the most important results of the survey is that Openness to structural reforms. 52% of respondents believed that advancing labor and tax changes would be positive for the country. versus 41% who thought the opposite.
When broken down by type of reform The pension is at the top of support with a difference of 36 points (65% versus 29%), followed by tax reform with 23 points (58% versus 35%) and labor reform with 12 points (52% versus 40%). The elimination of PASO, on the other hand, showed a negative balance of 3 points (45% vs. 48%).
There were also changes in the national cabinet after the parliamentary elections received a predominantly positive review. 53% rated the new appointments positively and 36% expressed it negatively, a difference of 17 points that reflects citizens’ approval of the ruling party’s political moves.
The perception of the country’s main problems completed the panorama of citizens’ concerns. Inflation continues to be cited as the biggest problemfollowed by insecurity and unemployment. These structural issues appear to be the key challenges facing the government in 2026.
Fragmentation of the opposition and possible runoff elections in 2027
Regarding the establishment of opposition leadership, the survey found a remarkable fragmentation.
Axel Kicillof turned out to be the main anti-Milei reference. albeit without conclusive numbers to cement him as the sole leader.
The governor of Buenos Aires has one 40% positive imagewhile the negative scales to 56%, with a negative difference of 16%.
The electoral future of the libertarian space was also put to the test. Should Milei decide to run for re-election in 2027, his electoral cap would be 48%this is the data on willingness to vote.
In a hypothetical presidential runoff between Milei and Axel Kicillof, the current president He would receive 54% of the vote, compared to the Buenos Aires governor’s 34%. The 20-point difference cements the Libertarian leader on the platform for eventual re-election.
The survey was more striking Karina Milei as an eventual presidential candidate for 2031. Only 25% said they would vote for herwhich shows that despite his growing role in the party structure, the construction of his political figure is facing significant resistance from the electorate.
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