The current negotiations between the People’s Party of Valencia and Vox to present a candidate for state president to replace Carlos Mazón have a clear resemblance to the explicit agreement he raised in June 2023. The popular parties then took on a large part of the far-right ideology, which was embodied in a 50-point agreement. Mazzone managed to enter the State Palace, but the speed with which the agreement was signed, in the middle of a general election campaign, and the evidence of the PP’s willingness to give Fox the political initiative on social issues in order to come to power, made Pedro Sánchez’s political story a reality, mobilizing the votes of the left and hindering Alberto Núñez Viejo’s prospects for Moncloa.
Now, the party led by Santiago Abascal still has more assets in its favor to impose its guidelines on the badly wounded People’s Party at the regional level after supporting the president who has become a symbol of incompetence for a year. Nuñez Viejo’s party lacks a clear signal to replace Mazzone and urgently needs to find a way out of the power vacuum left after he was forced to resign due to the criminal investigation into negligence in the Dana administration and the denunciation of the victims. If no agreement is reached to find a candidate, elections will be called. Anyway, Fox wins.
The precedents and the current electoral situation, unfavorable for the PP and with the possibility of encouraging leftist participation in society, lead us to believe that the PP will once again yield to extremist demands. These include, above all, the tightening of the policy against unaccompanied minor migrants and the skepticism of the Green Deal, reached in the European Union and promoted by Commission President Ursula von der Leyen (from the European People’s Party). Last March, in the midst of negotiations with Vox to move forward with their budgets, Mazzone actually improvised a statement attacking “climate dogmatism” and against underage distribution. On the eve of the anniversary of Dana Valencia, cited by experts around the world as an example of the climate crisis, the People’s Party supported Vox’s decision to prepare differential statistics reflecting the “number of current blood donors” between the “healthy population” and the “migrant population”, among other issues. He also agreed to give lectures on hunting in schools. On the day of the last mass demonstration demanding Mazzone’s resignation, on October 26, the Vox party organized an event against the temporary care center for migrant minors in Valencia. Closing these centers is on the table.
Thus, the immediate future of the state passes through the Fox party, which is wringing its hands while tightening the rope with its demands. If an agreement is reached, the far right will see it as a responsible formation that provides stability to a society still traumatized and rebuilding after the disaster that killed 229 people; If there is no agreement and early elections are called, he aspires to give power a surprise To PP especially in the province of Valencia and be more decisive than ever. Valencia could, once again, be a laboratory for national policy. The image of the PP linked to Vox on sensitive issues, or a victory for Vox at the polls, would affect the party’s credibility in Extremadura and Castilla y León, which must also contest elections in the coming months. And perhaps even to the National People’s Party, as happened two years ago.
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