Extremadurans have a date with the polls before the end of the year. Maria GuardiolaLast October, the President of the Regional Government of Extremadura announced this call Early elections on Sunday, December 21In light of the impossibility of approving next year’s budget due to the opposition’s unanimous rejection.
“No budgets We do not have the tools to continue creating jobs and protecting families.. We will not allow sieges because some of us are not here to cling to the sofa, we are here to transform Extremadura to promote the growth of this region. If there is a moment when groups stop and do not allow this to happen, it must be citizens who speak out, and democracy has the tools for that. I I’m not afraid to listen to extremaduran“, declared the regional president to justify the first electoral advance in Extremadura.
the The election campaign that will start on December 5, coinciding with the birthday of the Extremaduran presidentIt continues until the 19th of this month. Given this situation, several opinion polls have been published to find out how the political map in Extremadura is shaping up.
What do the polls say?
One of the available surveys is the one prepared by Electomanía. Regional ElectoPanel rolled out an update on November 17. According to this survey, The Popular Party and the Socialist Workers’ Party will be the two main parties that will share the majority of seats From the Extremaduran Parliament. The People’s Party, led by Maria Guardiola, remains the leading force. The survey gives you 41.2% intention to vote. This translates to 29 seats.
behind, PSOE up to 35%with 24 seats. Fox It will be the third force in the Parliament of Extremadura with a voting intention of 11.8%, or 8 seats, while United we can It closes with 6.5%, meaning 4 seats.
It must be remembered that the majority of the Extremadura Assembly lies in 33 seats. That means it The Popular Party was unable to install Maria Guardiola on its own. They will need the support of Vox, which would achieve greater representation in terms of the 2023 results. On the other hand, the leftist forces are far from a majority. Their total number of seats will not be enough to form an Extremaduran government Miguel Angel Gallardo.
The 2023 elections produced a very similar result. PP and PSOE are tied with 28 seats. The balance is finally tipping in favor of the People’s Party thanks to Vox’s five seats.
What does the CIS say?
For its part, according to the latest CIS measure on Extremadura, published in July 2025, the PP would lead some hypothetical autonomous regions with 27.2% of the vote, followed by the Socialist Workers Party (SWP) with 21.6%, and Vox with 8.8%. However, the same study warns that a quarter of voters (25.4%) declare themselves undecided, a segment that could be crucial. The survey was conducted between March 7 and 31, 2025.
The CIS also asked whether voters would like to change the regional president: 41% answered in the affirmativeCompared to 38.9%, they preferred to maintain the current leadership, while 20.1% chose “does not know/does not answer.”
Regarding the personal preference of the next President of Extremadura, 25.7% of those surveyed chose Maria Guardiolawhich is much higher than the rest of the candidates
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