In conversation with Channel E, Marina BarlettaAn agricultural expert at the Rosario Stock Exchange analyzed the historical progress of the wheat crop, the climate situation and the prospects for agriculture in the face of a new economic scenario.
Historic harvest of Argentine wheat
With great enthusiasm, Barletta emphasized that:Harvest has begun in the north of the country with very good yields“He highlighted that”In Chaco, 23 quintals per hectare are recorded, while the average is usually less than 20.“.
The specialist confirmed that the wheat cycle was exceptional thanks to the climate: “During the entire growing cycle, wheat performed very well; It was favored due to the wetter fall rains and winters of the past 30 years“, precise.
In the core region, the harvest is about to begin, with record forecasts. “The average yield is expected to reach 50 quintals per hectare, where the average of the last five campaigns was 38 quintals.He explained, in addition, that the last major campaign was 2021-2022 with 47 quintals per hectare, and he expected that “This year we can surpass this production and have a historic and record-breaking campaign“.
Regarding the international scenario, the specialist warned that “Large global supplies of wheat are expected, putting downward pressure on prices“Even though he made that clear”Producers will be able to compensate for this decrease due to the large amount of goods they will sell.“.
However, he warned of a potential bottleneck in logistics: “It is expected that such a large size would not be available in trucks; Some producers are already thinking about packing part of the goods in bags“, he pointed out.
Soybeans and corn: encouraging signs despite “La Niña”
Barletta He also noted the progress made in soybean cultivation, which has already reached 25% of its cultivation in the core region. “There is a La Niña year expected, but current values are similar to those in the 2016-17 campaign, when returns were excellent.“, compare.
“It is possible that we will be able to achieve very good results in the field of soybean and corn cultivation, because water reserves are still holding up after months of above-normal rainfall.“, he stated.
But he acknowledged that there were some delays in planting due to excess moisture: “Continuous rains and low temperatures delay soybean planting“, adding that”There are areas in central and northern Buenos Aires that are still under water, with many areas that will be lost during this campaign“.
With regard to the economic context, Barletta He stressed the need for predictability: “Producers need clearer rules so they can plan the next campaignHe explained that decision-making in the field depends on anticipation after months of preparation and purchasing inputs.
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