“This can only get worse”

The “Black Thursday” of the Socialist Workers’ Party and the government. Double effect. Without a majority in the House of Representatives – where the deficit path faltered – and with the former right-hand man of Pedro Sanchez going to prison. Second Secretary of the Socialist Organization Which ends in Soto del Real in less than six months. The situation in Moncloa and Ferraz is tragic. First of all, because seeing José Luis Ábalos in prison is to undermine the founding cause of the executive that came to power on the back of a censure motion against the corruption of “Guertel”, which – to further shame – The socialist leader himself intervened on the podium Giving lessons in democratic hygiene to Mariano Rajoy.

Secondly, because, contrary to what government sources officially assert, the issue has not been “extinguished” in any way. With Abalos entering prison, nothing ended, but everything began. Or so they believe in the party. “It is likely to get worse,” socialist sources say.Who look with concern at recent events and those that may come.

It was a sentiment that swept PSOE yesterday Of deep uncertainty and devastation at the gates of a new election cycle. “unexplored area”summed up a regional position skeptical that the once-powerful man of “sanchismo” could adopt a strategy similar to that of Victor de Aldama of trying to improve his procedural position at the expense of laying mines for the rest of the legislature. The first is a programmed explosion and an immediate explosion if the judge decides to send him to prison. So far, Abalos has refused to cooperate with justice, but in his new situation, many of the officials consulted did not dare to make predictions. “It is unpredictable,” they point out.

In fact, this confusion began to build on Wednesday when the former transport minister used his X account to launch several broadsides against the government. The first – and most important – a Direct attack on Pedro Sanchez On a seemingly insignificant topic such as an officially denied meeting with Arnaldo Otegui in 2018. The second, against the second vice president, Yolanda Díaz. As ABC reported yesterday, the government sources consulted could not understand what they were seeking with this movement, because their influence – it was proven – to prevent Abalos from going to prison was very limited, if not non-existent. “There’s nothing to do for him,” they decided. Judge Leopoldo Puente does not appear to have deciphered the signals in the form of tweets he sent for his release.

The inability to improve their situation and how that can affect the game is what causes a certain feeling of depression. In PSOE they are malicious who can adopt it A destabilizing position of the executive authoritywhich ends up causing huge losses, beyond the plasticity of the image of seeing someone who was everything entering the party and the government in Soto del Real for committing crimes of corruption.

Concern also focuses on Abalos’ ability to set the agenda and take the initiative, forcing Ferraz and Moncloa to constantly react to his movements. at this point, Some warn that it is “not smart” to attack the former ministerWith angry reactions such as calling him “unhinged”, coming directly from members of the government. This, coupled with the parliamentary fragility of the executive power and its inability to approve anything in Congress, puts the legislative power in a state of collapse.

Page calls for “extreme caution”

Few officials are speaking out about the dangers the party faces. But that is not the case with Emiliano Garcia Page, who yesterday recommended that Sanchez be “very careful” in case Abalos pulls the rug. “There are many swords of Damocles on the national political scene.” And when it comes to fear of retaliation, we must keep in mind that “most of the evidence is subjective, recordings of the accused themselves, especially Koldo,” he concludes: “I would have kept the fly behind my ear permanently.” The President of Castilla-La Mancha leads the internal movement that demands that general elections be held before municipal and regional elections so that regional positions do not pay the consequences of the national administration.