Every year the tradition is maintained. Although it is not the draw that offers the most money, millions of Spaniards have decided to play in the extraordinary draw for the World Cup. Christmas lottery It falls on December 22 every year. For many, it is the beginning of the holidays and a new way to dream of making some money.
However, the fact is that there are many draws throughout the year where this opportunity is also given. Mathematician David Gozalo explained this on his YouTube channel What are the chances of winning this giveaway?but he also compared it to others like Euromillions.
“In the Christmas lottery The probability is one in 100,000, i.e. 0.001%. If we compare it with EuroMillions, which has 139,838,160 combinations and a probability of 0.0000007%, it is more feasible,” says the expert, who concludes by highlighting that although the probability of winning the Christmas Lottery is low, it is higher than other draws: ““Let El Gordo touch you because it is strange, but less strange.”
The expert also analyzed the odds of playing one number over another, although he emphasizes that all numbers can appear equally. “People don’t like to play with very low numbers, this is a classic,” But zero can come out like 99.999.”
He also analyzed some traditions, As if there are better or worse numbers. In fact, many people always look at numbers thinking that they have certain limits, or that they are not too low, but not too high either. There are even those who look for tenths where no number is repeated.
“The most common mistake is thinking that numbers are ugly,” Gozalo says. “The probability of them touching is the same. I made it up: 88888 because it only has eight. Then there’s the fact that you don’t like the ending. If you buy a lot of numbers, at least check the ending and cover all the probabilities from 0 to 9.”
Different numbers
What is certain is that Gordo did not have the same five numbers, nor even four. The maximum was three equal numbers: 25,888 in 1935; 35,999 in 1880 and 55,666 in 1949. “The fact that the same number appears has the same probability as any other probability. Now, if we reverse the question, things change: What is the probability that Gordo is a number with five equal digits? Well, since there are only 10 numbers like this (00.0000, 11.1111, 22.2222, etc.), the probability is 0.01%.”
Statistics also show that winning a jackpot is easier than being attacked by a shark or struck by lightning. However, the probability depends on the number of tenths you buy and obviously increases as the purchase volume increases. “It’s very simple: If you want to reach a 5% probability To win the grand prize You need 5000 different numbers If you just want one of the prizes, you have to have 395 numbers.”