probable programming, retrospective, where to watch, arbitration and predictions

Barradão will be the scene of a confrontation full of tension, expectations and pressure this Sunday (7). At 4 p.m. (Brasilia time), Vitória and São Paulo enter the field in opposite situations, but equally relevant in the ranking of the Brazilian Championship. For the Bahian team, this match represents the last chance to stay in the elite. For the Tricolor de São Paulo, it is the opportunity to keep alive the goal of guaranteeing a place in the CONMEBOL Libertadores in 2026.

The red and black team enters the final round occupying 17th place, with 42 points, and is not counting only on itself to escape the fall. Even if they win all three points in front of their fans, Vitória will have to support three direct rivals: Ceará, Fortaleza and Santos. The top two cannot win, while Alvinegro from the beach must be defeated. The scenario increases the emotional charge and makes the duel one of the most dramatic of the final round.

On the other hand, São Paulo arrives in Salvador in a climate of private decision-making. The club is in eighth place, with 51 points, and only needs a draw to continue dreaming of a place in the main continental competition. If they score, Tricolor will still have to watch the outcome of the Copa do Brasil, hoping for a Cruzeiro or Fluminense title, which would open up an additional place in the general classification.

RETROSPECTION

The retrospective between the teams shows a large French advantage. In 48 official matches, São Paulo has won 33 times, there have been 6 draws and Vitória has won 9 times. Even playing in Salvador, the São Paulo team shows impressive numbers: in 23 matches in Barradão, they emerged victorious in 13, drew 2 and lost 8.

Bahians, however, view the present moment as a special occasion. In decisive matches, statistics tend to lose their strength in the face of necessity and pressure. The support at the stadium and the urgency to stay increases the level of performance of the team, which can balance the duel. São Paulo’s mission will be precisely not to get involved in a hostile climate and to use its experience to control actions.

WHERE TO WATCH

The match between Vitória and São Paulo will be broadcast live on Premiere, on the pay-per-view system, from 4 p.m. this Sunday.

ARBITRATION

• Referee: Wilton Pereira Sampaio (GO)
• Assistants: Bruno Raphaël Pires (GO)
• Assistants: Leone Carvalho Rocha (GO)
• VAR: Rafael Traci (SC)

LIKELY ESCALATION

Coach Jair Ventura will miss midfielder Dudu and defender Lucas Halter for the match, both injured. On the other hand, the coach will be able to hire the reinforcement of the striker Erick, on loan from the tricolor club of São Paulo, the board of directors paid the price to be able to use the athlete.

Victory: Thiago Couto, Neris, Camutanga, Zé Marcos, Raúl Cáceres, Willian Oliveira, Baralhas, Ramon, Erick, Aitor and Renato Kayzer. Technical: Jair Ventura

Argentine coach Hernán Crespo had two absences from the São Paulo team, starting defender Alan Franco was injured in the last round against Internacional, the other absence was midfielder Bobadilla who was suspended for receiving the third yellow card in the triumph against the Rio Grande do Sul team,

Sao Paulo: Rafael, Arboleda, Rafael Tolói, Sabino, Maik, Luiz Gustavo, Alisson, Marcos Antônio, Ferreira, Luciano and Tapia. Technical: Hernan Crespo

PALPITÃO

Raquel Cirático responsible for the Vitória sector

The duel presents all the ingredients of a tense match, mainly due to the extreme necessity of Vitória, who plays for its survival in Serie A in front of its supporters. Barradão usually steps in and Leão should take a very aggressive stance from the start, pressing high and trying to speed up the play.

São Paulo, on the other hand, arrives calmer, but still fighting for an international place. The team must try to control the pace and explore the spaces left by the red-black emergency.

Guess: Victory 1 x 1 São Paulo