The head of Catalan allianceSílvia Orriols, has confirmed her intention to modify the party’s statutes to expressly prohibit the far-right independence party from participating in the Spanish general elections.
However, according to the latest survey Sociometry For SPANISHif the party decides to run for the Congress of Deputies would get 3 seatswhich They would come directly from Junts per Catalunyawhich would go from its current 7 deputies to only 4.
With a 0.9% voting intention At the state level, the Aliança Catalana would today obtain 3 of the 48 seats distributed in Catalonia. All Aliança seats would be to the detriment of Junts.
The projection of the investigation draws a hypothetical but revealing scenario of the specific weight that the formation led by Orriols has acquired in the Catalan political panorama.
The mayor of Ripoll was firm in her recent statements: “I am not here to defend electoral cycles like so many others, but to defend the country and the independence of Catalonia“.
In an interview broadcast on Ràdio 4, Orriols affirmed that “we are not Spanish. In the same way that we did not participate in the French, German or Italian elections, We are not obliged to attend the Spanish elections“.
This strategic decision aims to protect the ideological coherence of the party and to avoid what Orriols considers to be the error of other pro-independence parties: “going to beg in Madrid, or occupying seats in Madrid, as the rest of the parties that claimed to be pro-independence have dedicated themselves to doing.”
The AC leader harshly criticized ERC and Junts for facilitating governments in Spain, accusing them of “whitewash a colonial system”.
The SocioMétrica data reflect the hemorrhage that Junts is suffering in favor of the far-right party and show the disenchantment of a sector of the pro-independence electorate with regard to the management of Carles Puigdemont and his negotiation strategy with the central government.
Crisis of the juntas
The transfer of Junts’ vocals occurs amid a deep crisis in its relations with the government by Pedro Sanchez.
On October 26, 2025, the party executive in Perpignan unanimously agreed to break the investiture agreement with the PSOE, a decision which was subsequently ratified by the bases with 87% support and a participation of 66%.
The group’s spokesperson, Miriam Noguerasjustified the “break” by denouncing what he considers “rupture of the investiture pact”arguing that after almost two years of the agreement signed in November 2023, “the margin of the socialists to satisfy the compensation promised to Junts is exhausted”.
Among the main reasons for complaint are the weak execution of the budget in Catalonia – where only 45% of what was planned in 2023 was executed – and the delay in the measures undertaken such as the transfer of the minimum subsistence income or the publication of regional tax balances.
Since the breakup, Pedro Sánchez has deployed an offensive (at least dialectical) to regain the support of the Junts.
The President of the Government admitted publicly in an interview with CAR1 December 2: “I do not deny the seriousness of the crisis we are going through with Junts” and “I take responsibility for non-compliance and delays” which the Catalan party criticized.
However, Junts’ response was skeptical. Míriam Nogueras stated that “It is very easy to announce agreements and not respect them” and warned that “it will only be credible when it has respected everything that is outstanding. Facts, and not just words.”
From Aliança Catalana, Orriols defended his party’s non-participation in the legislative elections for ideological reasons. But SocioMétrica survey data reveals that if he took that step, he would have the ability to significantly shift the balance of power in Congress.
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