It’s too early to say that Trump won’t cause any more problems in Brazil, but the American leader no longer seems willing to cause us any problems because of Jair Bolsonaro.
On Friday (12), the Trump administration removed Alexandre de Moraes and his wife from the list of people sanctioned by the Magnitsky law. Jair remains in prison.
The clown duo Bananinha and Pauleta had promised Trump a cheap and easy victory in Brazil. According to the stunt they were selling, the Brazilian population was about to revolt against Lula and the STF because they believed the 2022 elections had been stolen. In 2022, they said, Jair would have tried to rebel against this, but failed to gain support from the Biden administration. If Trump lit the spark, Bananinha and Pauleta lied, Brazil would explode in a revolt that would establish in Brasilia a government 100% docile in relation to the United States.
A few months were enough for Trump to realize that it was all a lie. After the US sanctions, Lula’s popularity increased. The right’s favorite candidate, Tarcísio de Freitas, suffered a blow for supporting the tariff. The effect on the Brazilian economy has been small: Brazil is not a developed country, but it is certainly developed enough not to depend on a single market. Lula may have many faults, but he’s not an asshole.
None of this would have happened if the scenario described by Bananinha and Pauleta had any basis in reality.
Without the prospect of a cheap and easy victory, Trump left Brazil aside and focused his attention on a country where the elections were rigged, the Supreme Court is truly equipped with Bolivarianism and the population is truly unhappy: Venezuela.
But be careful: even in Venezuela, Trump hesitates. Military victory over Maduro would be easy, but rebuilding Venezuela would be expensive.
According to an October 23 episode of The New York Times podcast The Daily, Trump seemed likely to accept a deal in which Maduro would hand over Venezuelan oil to the Americans to avoid war.
However, he was convinced by Secretary of State Marco Rubio that a deal with the Venezuelan leader would be politically disastrous: Florida’s Latino community, home to many exiles from left-wing dictatorships, would abandon Trump. Republican state lawmakers didn’t even vote in favor of his budget proposal.
Trump need not worry about Brazilian dictatorship exiles voting in Florida because, after all, there is no dictatorship in Brazil. The “community in exile” of Bananinha, Pauleta and Allan dos Santos are just the fugitive criminals of the failed 2022 coup.
Everyone must be arrested. Not because Brazil is a dictatorship, but because Brazil is a democracy that knows how to defend itself against its enemies, including those who have managed to deceive the superpowers for some time.
Brazilian democracy has won its battle against the superpower. But it continues to be threatened by the Bolsonaristas, who have conspired so much against Brazil. Today, they live on blood transfusions from the center, with whom they are partners in various robberies. Next year, they plan to win the Senate to organize a new attack on our democracy, from who knows what foreign country.
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