After completing the first two years of management Javier Milei Several consulting firms came out today to assess their government’s situation in light of public opinion. two of them Surveys Paint a challenging picture for the libertarian leader 7 out of 10 people say their economic situation has worsened but they have high expectations for improvements in 2026while the Labor reform presented as a mistake because growth receives important support.
The predominantly negative opinions about economic reality; The continued confidence that this reality will improve within a year and the central role that the government has given to the labor reform project are crucial The combination that will gradually define another issue already on the radar of La Libertad Avanza (LLA) and that these two polls also measured: Milei’s chances of re-election in 2027.
One of the surveys corresponds CB Consulting public opinionwhich focused on Milei’s image, the government’s assessment after two years in office and, above all, voters’ opinions about the present and future of the economy. The other study is DC Advisor and highlighted labor reform and the debate beginning this week in Congress.
Two polls, the same scenario: how will Javier Milei reach the second phase of his term in office?
The CB survey found 1,503 cases between December 9 and 13, as Milei completed the first half of his term and prepared the second with the ambitious reform package that is now at the center of the political and economic agenda.
The government’s approval has a negative impact, but Milei makes up for it with his own image
In this context, the survey asked to rate “the”. national government work“After two years of management: the Approval was 46.8% while the 49.6% rejected this. In this negative balance, those who “strongly disapprove” of management (38.1%) outnumber those who “strongly approve” (25.2%).
However, the data the government receives in this section of the survey is poor This is consistent with the measurement of Milei’s image: the positive was 48.3%, the negative was 49.5%, which corresponds to the disapproval of management. That is, the president’s approval rating is better than the government’s rating.
Economic alert for Milei in the first survey: present vs. expectations
In any case, the negative balance both in the image of Milei and in the assessment of the government’s work seems to be due to the poor diagnosis that the respondents made about the economic situation in which they reach the end of the year.
According to those surveyed, the domestic economy has deteriorated significantly this year
69% of those surveyed said that their household situation had deteriorated “compared to the previous year”. That’s an extremely high number: 43.1% said the situation had “gotten a lot worse” and 25.9% said it had “gotten a little worse.” In contrast, only 26.3% said that things had improved “a lot” (9.8%) or “somewhat” (16.5%) in their case.
The picture of the electorate’s daily economic situation is dire for Milei as he begins the second phase of his term in office, but he has one stark contrast to expectations: When asked “What do you think your household’s economy will look like in a year,” 46.2% were optimistic about improvement and 46% were pessimistic.
The other side is the expectations for improvements, which represent the real challenge for Milei
Measuring people’s confidence that the situation will change for the better in this way, opinions shift radically in favor of Milei’s government, but also show a strong polarization between optimists and those who foresee an even worse future for the domestic economy.
The key point of the second survey: Is labor reform necessary?
The challenge for Milei in this second half of his term, which begins with a government emboldened by its victory in the midterm elections and setting out to push forward structural reforms, is We will meet this expectation and reverse the overall economic malaise in 2026 what the CB survey revealed.
Here is the one Labor reform plays a key role in this. The project being discussed in the Senate aims to end the so-called “trial industry” – which the government and companies say hinders the recruitment of workers – and make the relationship between employers and employees more flexible, arguing that this will make it possible This will create more registered jobs and promote economic growth.
The survey by DC Consultores assessed the opinion on this issue between December 6th and 8th with 1,710 cases. For 61.4% of respondents, labor reform is “very urgent” and for 10.5% it is “urgent” because current legislation is “delayed”. Meanwhile, 21% felt this was not necessary Because if it progresses, “rights will be lost.”
Another poll showed broad support for labor reform, a key issue on the government’s agenda
The survey found majority support for this central point of Milei’s agenda. Opinions differ when it comes to the discussion that Congress will now have. He 19.7% believes that the debate should focus mainly on this “Work processes”He 17% for “New Labor Relations” and only 8.1% believe that acquired “rights” also need to be addressed. But for 45.5% “everything” should be discussed.
What’s at stake between labor reform and economic expectations
In the scenario drawn between both surveys, labor reform is progressing with significant social pressure, both due to the support of such an initiative by DC Consultores and due to the relatively high expectation that the economic situation, rated very poorly today, will improve within a year according to the CB survey.
Put more simply, the mandate that Milei received in 2023 and ratified this year forces him to show tangible results in this second phase. Labor reform will certainly not be the central – nor the fastest – measure for ultimately improving purchasing power, but it is Based on this expectation, the first effects are considered and that interest in the economy is better than it was until the end of 2026.
This is crucial as the government is hand in hand with Karina Milei As leader of La Libertad Avanza, he has already begun to advance the 2027 re-election project. Days ago the President of the Chamber of Deputies, Martin Menemstated that they are already working on the re-election of the president and Javier Milei himself recently commented on this issue.
The president even set the condition: “If I don’t solve the problems, it would be very good if they didn’t extend my contract.” In fact, Re-election will depend heavily on whether he manages to turn around the economic situation by 2027, which the electorate now considers to be very bad, and on the impact that his new reforms will have.
Both polls asked about Milei’s future re-election. They harvested very different numbers, but agreed on the general result: the The libertarian has a big advantage (at least 10 points) over everyone else and the one who comes closest to him is the governor of Buenos Aires, Axel Kicillof. He even asserts himself against a new “outsider”.
What do the polls say about Milei’s re-election in 2027?: the “outsider” who wants to gain a foothold
When questioning DC Advisor Milei’s re-election was impressive 52% support of respondents, during Kicillof earned 18.7% and 27% chose the “missing (but not crazy to go back)” option. The survey did not specify the alternative “none” and even threw two other names into the field.
The two polls showed good prospects for Milei’s re-election bid in 2027
One of them was that of the governor of Santa Fe, Maximiliano Pullarowho only brought in 1.39%, and the other was the priest and lecturer Dante Gebel which didn’t even reach 1%. Gebel was starting to sound like a potential candidate for 2027 these days. His new show is called “Dante Gebel – President. It’s not another classic political campaign.” Just as suggestive as the fact that it is already appearing in the polls.
In fact, the work of CB Consultora also included the priest among the options when measuring the support that Milei’s re-election is receiving today. The numbers differed from the other polls, but the trend remained: the Libertarian was the clear favorite with 34.9%, followed a long way by Kicillof with 23.5%.
None of the other leaders offered as alternatives in the survey reached 10%, not even former President Mauricio Macri, who came in third with 6.7%. Gebel again ended up at the bottom of the table with just 1.8%.
The two Surveys They agreed on that Javier Milei He faces the second phase of his term in office with significant support that allows him to dream of re-election, even in the face of the emergence of another “outsider” like him, although 2027 is still a long way off and the government must first meet these expectations the economy recovers in 2026, when advancing with a Labor reform This will be in the crosshairs of an electorate that believes things are not good but will improve.
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